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Coffee, Brazil & Vietnam
Minas Gerais / Tây Nguyên, Brazil / Vietnam21.55°S 45.43°W
computed criticality18/100
reading
Brazil ≈37% + Vietnam ≈17-18% ≈ more than half of world coffee (2024/25)
2024Fault line
Two countries supply on their own more than half of the world's coffee: Brazil dominates arabica, Vietnam produces nearly 40% of the planet's robusta. This bipolarity makes the world price hostage to the weather of two regions, drought in Brazil, hazards in the Vietnamese highlands, which sent prices soaring in 2024. A simultaneous climate shock would be enough to shake world supply.
Actors
Brazilian cooperatives (Minas Gerais)
Vietnamese highland growers (Dak Lak)
Traders (ECOM, Louis Dreyfus)
Feeds 1
ABCD traders, Cargill, MinneapolisFertilizers & Food↗Sources