Fertilizers & Food
Critical node· Fertilizers & Food · Critical anchor

Russian wheat, Black Sea

Rostov-sur-le-Don, Russia47.24°N 39.71°E
computed criticality21/100
reading
~24% of world wheat exports (2023/24)
2024
Market priceWheat · ¢/bu
683¢/bu
11% over 30dthis week 8%

Indicative delayed market price: a tension gauge, distinct from the physical flow. A rise signals the input tightening.

Fault line

Russia is by far the world's leading wheat exporter, shipped mostly through Black Sea ports. Much of North Africa and the Middle East depends on a single origin and a single passage, the Bosphorus.

Actors
exporters via Novorossiysk
Feeds 4
Bosphorus and DardanellesChokepointsWheat, Egypt (GASC, Cairo)Fertilizers & FoodBlack Sea grain, Odesa (Ukraine)Fertilizers & FoodABCD traders, Cargill, MinneapolisFertilizers & Food
Sources
USDA FAS, Grain World Markets 2024